Dave Mancl
Dave Mancl
Data-driven HR, people analytics & AI leader · 20+ years · $50M+ delivered
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Case study · Fortune 25 health insurer · $1B transformation

Turning 4,000 jobs into a task-level map for AI.

WorkIQ: a task-based workforce-intelligence model that gave a $1B transformation a common, explainable language for where AI can augment work, and where humans should lead.

Explainable by design, O*NET-inspired. A task taxonomy scored for automation exposure, giving leaders a shared vocabulary for what AI can, and just as importantly cannot, do.
Across ~4,000 job profiles · explore the tools ↓
Role
Lead, task-based workforce model
Audience
CEO + Enterprise Leadership Team
Partners
CHRO, HR Strategy, Talent, Org Dev, L&D
Method
Evidence, data & systems thinking
The challenge

A $1B question, and no common language

A $1B, four-year transformation hinged on one question: where can AI augment the workforce, and where should people stay in the lead? Answering it the traditional way meant analyzing roughly 4,000 job profiles by hand, thousands of resource-hours of effort.

Even then, leaders had no common language to align a strategy on what AI can and should do. Without a shared, evidence-based way to talk about the work, every function had its own opinion and the transformation risked stalling in debate.

The approach

Decompose the work, score it, align on it

Decompose jobs into tasks

Every job is a bundle of tasks. Encoding roles at the task level turns fuzzy debates into a precise, comparable map of the actual work.

Score exposure, explainably

Each task gets an automation-exposure score grounded in O*NET research, so the model is auditable and defensible, not a black box.

A common language for AI

The task taxonomy gave the CEO, CHRO, and transformation teams one shared vocabulary to prioritize where AI helps and where human judgment wins.

Systems thinking, at speed

Built as a decision-grade model in six weeks, designed to do about 80% of the job-analysis work and to improve recursively from use.

Among my most visible work. I presented to the CEO and her entire Enterprise Leadership Team, designed and integrated the model with the CHRO, the head of HR Strategy, and the transformation and change-management teams, and partnered with the heads of Talent, Org Development, and L&D to put its insights to work. My role was to lead a critical part of the business objective and use evidence, data, and systems thinking to accelerate it.
How it works

From jobs to tasks to a workforce strategy

Optional deep-dive · six steps, collapsed. Expand any step for detail.
1Encode jobs as tasks
Task taxonomyComparable unit of work~4,000 profiles

Each job profile is broken into its component tasks, creating a precise, comparable unit of work across the enterprise and a common language for what people actually do.

2Score exposure to automation
0–100 per taskO*NET-groundedExplainable

Every task is scored 0–100 for exposure to automation, grounded in O*NET work-context research, so scores are consistent, explainable, and defensible rather than a black box.

3Roll up to roles and org
RolesTeamsBusiness units

Task scores roll up to roles, teams, and business units, revealing where work is human-centered and where it is highly exposed to automation.

4Model supply and demand
Headcount trendsSkill demandHuman + AI scenarios

Task loads are combined with headcount trends to forecast supply and demand by skill and to simulate human-plus-AI workforce scenarios.

5Prioritize the plays
TransformDevelopRedeploy

The model flags where to transform, develop, or redeploy. For example, roles that are both growing and highly exposed to automation are prime transformation targets.

6Deliver securely, improve recursively
TableauRow-level securityFeedback loop

Delivered in Tableau with row-level security so each leader sees only their organization, and designed to capture feedback and improve recursively from use.

Tool 1 · Task deconstruction

What can AI do — task by task?

The starting point for job analysis: pick a role to see its tasks decomposed and scored for exposure to automation, from human-centered judgment to routine, automatable work. An interactive reconstruction using public O*NET tasks.

Tool 2 · Workforce planning

Where is demand rising, and how exposed is it?

The resourcing view: every role plotted by demand (headcount change) and exposure to automation. The top-right is where growth meets automation, the prime place to transform. Filter, and click a role for its recommended play.

The impact

Decision-grade in six weeks, a year off the timeline

Under my leadership, a workable, decision-grade model was delivered in six weeks. The CEO and CHRO judged this component alone worth $2M+ had a firm like Deloitte built it. Together with the tools and the capability to use them, the Head of Strategy, CHRO, and CEO estimated the effort accelerated the four-year, $1B transformation by roughly 12 months, saving thousands of hours and creating a real strategic advantage. On the resourcing side, redeployment over severance was modeled to save $3–5M a year.

6 weeks
to a decision-grade model
$2M+
value vs an external build
12 months
transformation accelerated
$3–5M / yr
redeployment vs severance
The deeper insight: as AI automates routine, rules-based tasks, human-centered skills such as systems thinking, cross-functional leadership, diagnostic problem-solving, and ethical governance rise in value. The task model makes that shift visible and turns it into a plan.
Let’s build the future of HR

Whether you’re modernizing people analytics, deploying AI responsibly at scale, or sharpening product and market strategy, I’d be glad to talk.

The dashboards and figures here are an illustrative reconstruction using synthetic headcount data and public O*NET task statements and automation indicators. This work was completed while employed at a Fortune 25 health insurer; the internal tool and its production data remain the property of the company.